WTI crude oil below $70/barrel on supply concerns. U.S. benchmark crude prices were down nearly 3% this morning as traders digested reports that OPEC, Russia, and others are in discussions to potentially increase production…
Macro Market Movers
How Risky Is Emerging Market Debt?
What a difference a year (and change) makes. Emerging market debt’s (EMD) yield spreads to comparable Treasuries are more attractive than they have been since 2016.
Market Update | May 24, 2018
More trade ups and downs. President Trump ordered an investigation into whether auto and truck imports weaken the U.S. economy and threaten national security, which sparked a response from a Chinese official.
The Greenback Comes Back
Things are looking up for George Washington, as the dollar has staged a solid comeback after losing nearly 10% in 2017 and an additional 4% in January.
Market Update | May 23, 2018
Is Turkey a canary in the coal mine? Turkey’s currency, the lira, has lost over 20% versus the dollar since the start of the year and dropped as much as 5% overnight.
Yanny or Recession?
So what do you hear? Are you Team Yanny or Team Laurel? In case you haven’t heard, some people hear the word “Yanny,” while others hear the word Laurel in this epic division.
Market Update | May 22, 2018
10-year Treasury yield holds above 3%. The 10-year Treasury yield again broached the 3% level last week, and unlike previous instances, it managed to stay above that level for the entire week.
Expect GDP Growth to Help Emerging Market Stocks Reverse Recent Weakness
Solid economic growth should be good news for emerging market (EM) stocks, which have historically done well when economic growth in EM has accelerated relative to that of developed economies.
Market Update | May 21, 2018
Earnings estimates rose past week. Over the last week, forward-four-quarter estimates for the S&P 500 Index rose 0.6%, and have risen by an impressive 1.3% since April 1.
Weekly Update – Stocks Dip as Yields Move Higher
Global equities moved modestly lower on the week, as investors expressed renewed concern over rising interest rates. The yield on the 10-year Treasury jumped to multi-year highs on Tuesday.